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2026-10-30 · 1 statements · 1 actors

ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters, Q4 2026

The ECB publishes results of its Survey of Professional Forecasters for the fourth quarter of 2026, covering inflation, growth, unemployment and wage expectations.

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European Central Bank

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European Central Bank

  • Results of the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters for the fourth quarter of 2026 2026-10-30 · central bank · one of several topics in this statement

    Survey respondents expect HICP headline inflation of 3.0% for 2026, 2.6% for 2027 and 2.0% for 2028, revised up for 2026 and 2027, mainly attributed to higher energy prices and their indirect effects. Longer-term inflation expectations for 2031 remain at 2.0%. Respondents expect real GDP growth of 1.0% in 2026 and 1.3% in 2027 and 2028.

  • Results of the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters for the fourth quarter of 2026 2026-10-30 · central bank · one of several topics in this statement

    Survey respondents expect the euro area unemployment rate at 6.4% for 2026, declining gradually to 6.1% in the longer term. Wage growth expectations are 3.3% for 2026 and 2.7% in the longer term.