2026-10-29 · 1 statements · 1 actors

NBU key policy rate increase to 16.5%, 29 Oct 2026

The National Bank of Ukraine raised its key policy rate to 16.5% and published accompanying inflation, GDP and financing outlooks.

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29 Oct 2026 14:00 NBU Raises Key Policy Rate to 16.5% 2026-10-29 · central bank · one of several topics in this statement
The NBU says it raised the key policy rate to 16.5% because of a significant rise in price pressures and worsening inflation expectations, aiming to support hryvnia asset attractiveness and FX market sustainability. It says it stands ready to respond flexibly to further changes in risks.
29 Oct 2026 14:00 NBU Raises Key Policy Rate to 16.5% 2026-10-29 · central bank · one of several topics in this statement
The NBU reports headline inflation of 10.0% and core inflation of 8.8% in September 2026, and revises its 2026 inflation forecast up to 12.5%. It projects inflation of 7.3% in 2027 and a return to the 5% target in 2028.
29 Oct 2026 14:00 NBU Raises Key Policy Rate to 16.5% 2026-10-29 · central bank · one of several topics in this statement
The NBU estimates real GDP fell 0.5% yoy in Q3 2026, citing the sea port blockade and attacks on production and logistics. It revised its 2026 GDP forecast down to -0.4% and projects growth of 0.4% in 2027 and 2.2% in 2028.
29 Oct 2026 14:00 NBU Raises Key Policy Rate to 16.5% 2026-10-29 · central bank · one of several topics in this statement
The NBU says Q3 international financial assistance was below expectations, partly due to delayed reforms in Ukraine, and forecasts large external budget support and reserves above USD 62 billion in 2026-2027.